Pathology foundation models are typically benchmarked on classification performance at full label availability and on in-distribution test sets, while calibration, behavior at low label budgets, and robustness under cross-institutional shift are seldom evaluated jointly. We introduce PRISM, a tile-level benchmark that measures the reliability of pathology foundation models along four axes: model choice, label fraction, calibration, and out-of-distribution transfer.
PRISM evaluates eight foundation models (CLIP, PLIP, CONCH, UNI, Virchow2, GigaPath, H-Optimus-0, Midnight) on six tile-level datasets at six label fractions (1% to 100%) with three seeds (864 linear probe runs), extended with a five-hospital Camelyon17 study of 20 directed transfer pairs.
Four phenomena emerge.
- (i) Under full supervision, AUROC rank predicts post-temperature calibration rank consistently across datasets (Spearman rho = 0.52, I^2 = 0%), whereas at 1% labels the relationship becomes dataset-specific (rho = -0.24, I^2 = 67%).
- (ii) On harder datasets the linear probe collapses to a single predicted class below a dataset-specific label fraction.
- (iii) Whether additional source-domain labels help or harm target calibration tracks how well the probe transfers: below a transfer AUROC of roughly 0.85, more labels worsen target ECE in 86-88% of combinations.
- (iv) Temperature scaling fails to reduce ECE in 49 of 288 cells, miscalibration is predominantly under-confidence, and a source-fitted temperature is harmful under failing transfer.
PRISM is released as a pip-installable package with reference results for all 288 cells. Code and data: https://github.com/alicemky