Adaptive LLM reinforcement-learning post-training changes multiple training actuators online, including rollout temperature, group size, clipping, KL regularization, verifier allocation, and update budget.
Three coupled issues remain unresolved.
A future-risk model trained from behavior trajectories need not estimate the risk induced by the controller that will be deployed; a score calibrated on logged state-action pairs can become miscalibrated after selective action choice; and independent per-resource minimum costs do not in general certify a feasible multi-resource continuation.
We introduce FSPO, a feedback-state controller for budgeted LLM RL post-training that addresses these issues jointly.
FSPO learns a policy-consistent risk-to-go model whose Bellman target follows the same frozen controller used for future decisions, together with a long-horizon utility model.
Decision-conditioned trajectory calibration (DCTC) calibrates risk on cross-fitted trajectories generated by actions selected by provisional controllers.
A Pareto resource continuation certificate (PRCC) admits an action only when a non-dominated cumulative reservation remains feasible over the residual horizon.
Under a matched GRPO resource envelope, FSPO reaches 66.11% held-out and 59.43% OOD accuracy, compared with 64.47% and 57.03% for PB2, the strongest evaluated adaptive baseline.
Three paired training seeds give gains of +2.42 and +3.19 percentage points over the contextual bandit on held-out and OOD evaluation.
Under high behavior-deployment mismatch, policy-consistent risk lowers selected-decision ECE from 0.108 to 0.053; DCTC lowers it from 0.039 to 0.022 at matched acceptance; PRCC removes false-feasible admissions on an 18-action catalog ($0.197\rightarrow0.000$); and enabling all three components reduces trajectory failure from 0.181 to 0.083 in a factorial ablation.