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MACTS-EM: Multi-Agent Collaborative Time Series Forecasting with Emergent Memory

arXiv机器学习 2026-10-01 03:30 5 阅读 查看原文

Time series forecasting remains a critical challenge across numerous domains.

Despite significant advancements, existing approaches struggle with complex phenomena such as regime shifts, cross-domain knowledge transfer, and multimodal data integration.

This paper introduces Multi-Agent Collaborative Time Series Forecasting with Emergent Memory (MACTS-EM), a novel framework where specialised agents collaborate to achieve superior forecasting performance.

The MACTS-EM architecture integrates:

  • domain-specialised forecasting agents for pattern recognition, anomaly detection, causal inference, and uncertainty quantification;
  • a meta-cognitive layer for dynamic agent allocation;
  • an emergent memory mechanism enabling cross-domain pattern transfer;
  • multimodal contextual integration;
  • adversarial robustness components.

Evaluation across financial markets, climate patterns, energy consumption, and pandemic propagation demonstrates that MACTS-EM outperforms existing approaches in most scenarios, with 8-12% improvement in forecasting accuracy, 22-27% better zero-shot transfer capability, 16-21% enhanced resilience during regime shifts, and 15-18% faster recovery after distribution shifts.

Our findings suggest that collaborative, agentic approaches to time series forecasting represent a promising direction beyond traditional architectures, particularly for complex real-world scenarios requiring multi-resolution temporal understanding and contextual adaptation.