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Argus: A Real-EKS Study of When Predicting Spot Interruptions Beats Simple Checkpointing

arXiv机器学习 2026-09-30 14:05 8 阅读 查看原文

Elastic Compute Cloud (EC2) Spot is 60% to 90% cheaper than On-Demand but can be reclaimed on just a 2-minute notice;

for expensive multi-node training this loss can be severe, with one reclaim costing hours of synchronous progress.

We build Argus, a Kubernetes operator

and ask empirically, on a CIFAR-10 testbed, when predicting interruptions beats simple checkpointing.

Argus on real EKS survives a real Spot drain

with a graceful SIGTERM checkpoint, resuming from epoch 8 and losing only the in-progress epoch.

Alongside, we further find that in an 80-trial benchmark,

  • the reactive-on-notice degrades toward no protection once interruption outpaces the fixed 2-minute notice,
  • and predictive wasted compute is driven to zero,
  • but with an oversized fixed lead it over-migrates so severely that at the fastest rate only one of five runs completes,
  • while periodic is a strong ML-free baseline.

A lead-time sweep turns the lead prediction into a guideline where a small lead suffices for zero waste,

but excess lead is wasteful.

The predictor built is advisory (a proxy label); real interruption labels and large-model-scale validation are future work.