Yesterday I posted the same question to my followers on X, Threads, and Mastodon:1
Poll, only for people who have pre-ordered a Duo. When is your delivery/pickup date?
- October
- November
- December
- January
The results were interesting; I’m glad I asked.
| X | Threads | Mastodon | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October | 36% | 38% | 39% | 37% |
| November | 35% | 42% | 45% | 39% |
| December | 10% | 9% | 8% | 10% |
| January | 19% | 11% | 8% | 14% |
| Responses | 1,382 | 1,034 | 449 | 2,865 |
Observations:
-
There were way more people who successfully got October ship dates than I expected. It’s very close to even with November ship dates.
-
The fact that there are fewer December ship dates than January, is to me, a sign of Apple’s appreciation for the holidays. I think Apple is only promising “December” for shipments they are 100 percent certain they can deliver by Christmas. I bet a bunch of the orders promised for January will in fact ship in December — albeit perhaps too-late-for-Christmas December.
-
Apparently some configurations are getting an estimated date of February 1. I wish I’d listed February as an option, but I don’t think it would have made a big difference.
No one should mistake my audience as representative of the general public in any poll, but I bet my audience is at least ballpark representative of the general public when it comes to something like pre-ordering, at the crack of dawn, a new iPhone form factor that costs $2000 to $3200.